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Signal ensemble · Multi-signal ensemble

BTC · ETH · BNB Signal Ensemble · 4H

Multi-signal ensemble on BTC/USD, ETH/USD, BNB/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 4H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+4.7%Backtest
Max drawdown−13.1%Volatility 12.4%
Sharpe0.42Trades 1322
Since go-live—awaiting first trade
Backtest on real market data
Oct 24Apr 25Oct 25Apr 26Oct 26+13%+5%−4%
Annual return+4.7%
Max drawdown−13.1%
Sharpe0.42
Trades1322
Winning trades42%
Time in market99%

Backtest on real historical prices from Oct 15, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Four independent models vote: SMA 30/150 crossover, 90-bar momentum, Donchian 60/30 breakout and MACD.
  2. Exposure equals the average vote (−100 % to +100 % in 25 % steps), so conviction scales the position.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 18% annualised volatility (risk level 4/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2024-1.13.9-0.42.3%
2025-5.63.9-2.9-0.24.9-4.46.9-1.30.2-0.33.0-3.8-0.3%
20265.30.9-3.2-2.2-1.44.3-5.08.30.50.47.3%