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Momentum · Time-series momentum

AVGO Momentum 30 · 4H

Time-series momentum on AVGO CFDs, evaluated on completed 4H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−45.0%Backtest
Max drawdown−18.2%Volatility 18.1%
Sharpe-3.18Trades 17
Since go-live—market closed
Backtest on real market data
Jun 2Jul 2Aug 2Sep 1Oct 2−1%−9%−18%
Annual return−45.0%
Max drawdown−18.2%
Sharpe-3.18
Trades17
Winning trades12%
Time in market99%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jun 2, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Alpaca)

Methodology
  1. Long when the return over the last 30 bars is positive, short when it is negative.
  2. Trades both directions (long and short).
  3. Position size targets 18% annualised volatility (risk level 4/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2026-7.2-5.5-3.4-2.9-0.5-18.1%