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Momentum · Time-series momentum

Crypto Basket (10) Momentum 90 · 1D

Time-series momentum on BTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD, BNB/USD, XRP/USD, ADA/USD, AVAX/USD, LINK/USD, DOT/USD, POL/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+4.4%Backtest
Max drawdown−23.1%Volatility 21.4%
Sharpe0.31Trades 217
Since go-live—awaiting first trade
Backtest on real market data
Nov 24May 25Oct 25Apr 26Oct 26+25%+12%−2%
Annual return+4.4%
Max drawdown−23.1%
Sharpe0.31
Trades217
Winning trades35%
Time in market100%

Backtest on real historical prices from Nov 12, 2024 to Oct 3, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Long when the return over the last 90 bars is positive, short when it is negative.
  2. Trades both directions (long and short).
  3. Position size targets 25% annualised volatility (risk level 5/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
202416.4-4.511.1%
20256.4-10.30.4-2.0-4.5-0.48.2-1.8-0.0-5.72.01.8-7.1%
20262.72.60.4-0.9-3.48.7-2.7-8.67.20.05.1%