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Trend following · Moving-average crossover

ETH MA Cross 30/150 · 1H

Moving-average crossover on ETH/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 1H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−12.5%Backtest
Max drawdown−31.2%Volatility 30.6%
Sharpe-0.29Trades 101
Since go-live—awaiting first trade
Backtest on real market data
Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26+4%−12%−27%
Annual return−12.5%
Max drawdown−31.2%
Sharpe-0.29
Trades101
Winning trades22%
Time in market99%

Backtest on real historical prices from Oct 7, 2025 to Oct 4, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Long while the 30-bar simple moving average is above the 150-bar average; short while it is below.
  2. Trades both directions (long and short).
  3. Position size targets 18% annualised volatility (risk level 4/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2025-7.25.9-5.0-6.6%
20266.0-9.6-3.3-10.4-0.45.5-7.023.0-5.8-0.3-6.2%