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Mean reversion · RSI mean reversion

Gold RSI(14) Reversion · 1H

RSI mean reversion on XAU/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 1H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−11.8%Backtest
Max drawdown−11.3%Volatility 10.9%
Sharpe-1.10Trades 77
Since go-live—awaiting first trade
Backtest on real market data
Dec 25Feb 26May 26Jul 26Oct 260%−6%−11%
Annual return−11.8%
Max drawdown−11.3%
Sharpe-1.10
Trades77
Winning trades60%
Time in market40%

Backtest on real historical prices from Dec 15, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Alpaca)

Methodology
  1. Buy when RSI(14) closes below 30, sell short when it closes above 70.
  2. Positions are closed when RSI crosses back through 50.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 12% annualised volatility (risk level 3/5), capped at 5:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2025-2.3-2.3%
2026-4.20.3-2.72.7-1.0-0.30.5-3.50.80.0-7.4%