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Statistical arbitrage · Pairs spread reversion

GOOGL/META Pair Spread z2 · 1H

Pairs spread reversion on GOOGL, META CFDs, evaluated on completed 1H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−7.5%Backtest
Max drawdown−5.3%Volatility 6.8%
Sharpe-1.11Trades 34
Since go-live—market closed
Backtest on real market data
Apr 8May 22Jul 5Aug 18Oct 20%−2%−5%
Annual return−7.5%
Max drawdown−5.3%
Sharpe-1.11
Trades34
Winning trades53%
Time in market60%

Backtest on real historical prices from Apr 8, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Alpaca)

Methodology
  1. Trades the log-price spread of the first two instruments. When its 60-bar z-score exceeds +2, short the first and buy the second; below −2 the opposite.
  2. Both legs are closed when |z| falls below 0.5. The book is close to market-neutral.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 8% annualised volatility (risk level 2/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2026-3.7-0.81.40.50.7-1.70.0-3.7%