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Trend following · Long-term regime filter

Crypto Basket (6) Regime 150 · 8H

Long-term regime filter on AVAX/USD, LINK/USD, DOT/USD, ADA/USD, POL/USD, SOL/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 8H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+9.4%Backtest
Max drawdown−12.7%Volatility 12.5%
Sharpe0.79Trades 458
Since go-live—awaiting first trade
In the OctoHex System since Oct 5, 06:30 AM — client money follows this strategy.
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Oct 24Apr 25Oct 25Apr 26Oct 26+21%+10%−2%
Annual return+9.4%
Max drawdown−12.7%
Sharpe0.79
Trades458
Winning trades14%
Time in market100%

Backtest on real historical prices from Oct 3, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Hold long while price is above its 150-bar moving average; short (or flat for long-only) while below.
  2. Trades both directions (long and short).
  3. Position size targets 12% annualised volatility (risk level 3/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2024-1.514.2-5.66.2%
2025-1.42.30.0-0.8-0.90.2-0.52.4-1.22.03.41.26.8%
20261.11.1-2.0-4.1-2.45.2-3.22.68.1-0.35.5%