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Statistical arbitrage · Pairs spread reversion

JPM/GS Pair Spread z2 · 1H

Pairs spread reversion on JPM, GS CFDs, evaluated on completed 1H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+0.3%Backtest
Max drawdown−0.4%Volatility 2.1%
Sharpe1.13Trades 6
Since go-live—market closed
In the OctoHex System since Oct 5, 06:30 AM — client money follows this strategy.
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Aug 10Aug 23Sep 5Sep 18Oct 2+0.33%+0.08%−0.17%
Annual return+0.3%
Max drawdown−0.4%
Sharpe1.13
Trades6
Winning trades50%
Time in market27%

Backtest on real historical prices from Aug 10, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Alpaca)

Methodology
  1. Trades the log-price spread of the first two instruments. When its 60-bar z-score exceeds +2, short the first and buy the second; below −2 the opposite.
  2. Both legs are closed when |z| falls below 0.5. The book is close to market-neutral.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 8% annualised volatility (risk level 2/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20260.10.20.00.3%