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Seasonal · Turn-of-the-month seasonality

QQQ Turn-of-Month · 1D

Turn-of-the-month seasonality on QQQ CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+7.5%Backtest
Max drawdown−0.5%Volatility 2.8%
Sharpe2.60Trades 3
Since go-live—market closed
In the OctoHex System since Oct 5, 06:30 AM — client money follows this strategy.
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Jul 1Jul 24Aug 16Sep 8Oct 2+1.80%+0.71%−0.38%
Annual return+7.5%
Max drawdown−0.5%
Sharpe2.60
Trades3
Winning trades67%
Time in market18%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jul 1, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Alpaca)

Methodology
  1. Long from 2 calendar day(s) before month end until day 3 of the new month; flat otherwise.
  2. Long-only: short signals mean the position is flat.
  3. Position size targets 8% annualised volatility (risk level 2/5), capped at 1:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2026-0.41.70.20.41.9%