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Mean reversion · RSI mean reversion

LLY RSI(14) Reversion · 1H

RSI mean reversion on LLY CFDs, evaluated on completed 1H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+18.5%Backtest
Max drawdown−1.4%Volatility 6.5%
Sharpe2.64Trades 9
Since go-live—market closed
Backtest on real market data
Jun 11Jul 9Aug 6Sep 3Oct 2+6%+3%0%
Annual return+18.5%
Max drawdown−1.4%
Sharpe2.64
Trades9
Winning trades89%
Time in market37%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jun 11, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Alpaca)

Methodology
  1. Buy when RSI(14) closes below 30, sell short when it closes above 70.
  2. Positions are closed when RSI crosses back through 50.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 12% annualised volatility (risk level 3/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20260.52.51.41.1-0.15.4%